Tag Archives: climate change

Arctic Heart Beat and Disappearing Old Ice

Have a look at this beautiful movie that shows how the Arctic Ocean moves its oldest and thickest ice around from 1987 through 2013:

[Credits: Dr. Mark Tschudi, University of Colorado and NOAA's climate.gov.]

The Beaufort Gyre moves ice off western Canada and Alaska clockwise while the Fram Strait outflow between eastern Greenland and Spitsbergen exports much of the ice into the North Atlantic Ocean with the East Greenland Slope Current. The dividing line between the westward flux (into the Beaufort Gyre) and the eastward flux (into Fram Strait) stretch out to the north of the Canadian Archipelago and Greenland.

My only quibble is that, according to the movie, no old ice exits via Nares Strait or the Canadian Archipelago which is not true. During our field work in Nares Strait from 2003 through 2012 we always met rather heavy, thick, and old ice streaming south:

A graduate student in our oceanography program, Autumn Kidwell, is credited with directing me to this movie. Oh, and the Norwegian Ice Service in Tromso has a job opening for a smart remote sensing person ;-)

Petermann Gletscher Thawing and Thinning

Greenland’s tidewater glaciers are losing mass, through thinning and retreat, at an increasing rate. Greenland’s glaciers located north of 78 North latitude often end in ice shelves, floating extensions of the glaciers extending up to several tens of km into the adjacent fjords. While most ice shelves of North Greenland have been relatively stable, Petermann Gletscher lost more than 40% of its ice shelf area (36 giga tons) during two major calving events in 2010 and 2012. What remains of Greenland’s ice shelves is threatened by a changing climate, because both regional air and ocean temperatures continue to increase while Arctic sea ice cover continues to decline.

Petermann Gletscher through calving events. White lines show ICESat tracks; red (ambient ice shelf) and blue (central channel) show repeat-track airborne surveys.

Petermann Gletscher through calving events. White lines show ICESat tracks; blue (ambient ice shelf) and red (central channel) show repeat-track airborne surveys.

Using lasers and ice sounding radars aboard NASA planes (Operation IceBridge) as well as lasers on a now defunct satellite (ICESat), oceanographer Laurie Padman, glaciologist Helen A. Fricker, and I just passed peer-review with a study that estimates how much Petermann Gletscher has shrunk and melted over the last decade or so. The quick answer is about 5 meters per year:

(top) Change in ice thickness from 2007 to 2010 from repeat airborne missions. (middle) along-track mean thickness. (bottom) steady-state melt.

(top) Change in ice thickness from 2007 to 2010 from repeat airborne missions. (middle) along-track mean thickness. (bottom) steady-state melt.

In our study we distinguished between 1. a thinning of the floating ice shelf that moves along the glacier as new ice moves from the Greenland ice sheet on land out into the ocean and 2. a non-steady thinning at fixed locations as time passes. The situation is somewhat similar to the flow through a pipe (or river, if you wish) with a constriction. If the same amount of water entering the pipe comes out at the other end, then the flow has to speed up where the pipe becomes narrow. A floating glacier is not quite like water flowing through a pipe, because the ocean underneath and the air above can melt ice making the floating ice shelf thinner as it flows along. If the ice thickness changes along the floating glacier, then melting must take place for a glacier moving seaward at a constant rate. The ice thickness changes along the glacier, but stays constant at a fixed location. This is the steady-state melt.

The non-steady state thinning is the change in ice thickness at a fixed point observed at different times. We estimated this from observations taken along exactly the same tracks that the NASA aircraft flew in 2007 and 2010 before the break-up of Petermann Gletscher. Prior studies could not measure this, because the tracks were not the same or because the signal processing was not up to the task. We find that both the steady and the non-steady contribution is about 5 m per year each. These rates do not vary much between a thin central channel or a thick ambient ice shelf. This came as a little bit of a surprise, because the central channel is often also refered to as a “melt channel,” but it actually melts no different from any other section of the ice shelf. So, the question remains as to what causes the central and many other channels to be there in the first place. The place to look, I feel, is the area where the bed rock, the glacier ice, and the Arctic Ocean meet in what is called the grounding zone. It is here that the gigantic forces of water and ice pulverize rock while a mixture of rock and pressurized water is sand-blasting the ice. Talking about a rock and a hard place …

Our study will appear later this year in the Journal of Glaciology, but pre-prints can be downloaded here. The U.S. tax-paying public funded this study via grants that we received from NASA and NSF. They also funded substantial efforts to make sure, that all data reside in the public domain accessible to anyone anywhere.

Münchow, A., Padman, L., and Fricker, H.A. (2014). Interannual changes of the floating ice shelf of Petermann Gletscher, North Greenland from 2000 to 2012, Journal of Glaciology, in press

Johnson, H., Münchow, A., Falkner, K., & Melling, H. (2011). Ocean circulation and properties in Petermann Fjord, Greenland Journal of Geophysical Research, 116 (C1) DOI: 10.1029/2010JC006519

Rignot, E., & Steffen, K. (2008). Channelized bottom melting and stability of floating ice shelves Geophysical Research Letters, 35 (2) DOI: 10.1029/2007GL031765

Fish, Fashion, and Climate: Simple Thoughts on Complex Systems

I love pickled herring, but the fashion of eating this delicacy varies with changing cultures and climates. In northern Europe it used to be a standard fare, perhaps still is, but in my native coastal North-Germany it was poor man’s food Continue reading

Simple Design, Intense Content

Saturday, 4:30pm, no breakfast, no lunch, but lots of reading, thinking, and dreaming on how to draw that perfect plot. How can I convey data and science from Greenland Continue reading

Baltic Sea Travels 2013 and 1945

A massive ice sheet covered much of northern Europe just as Greenland is covered today. As climate warmed about 12,000 years ago, the ice sheet retreated leaving a large puddle of water behind that we now call the Baltic Sea. It is a shallow estuary, only about 55 meters deep on average, that separates Finland from Sweden in the north while Russia, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and Germany form its southern reaches with Denmark and Sweden filling in the western borders of this sea in the north. The history of all these 9 countries is shaped by the trade, travel, and turmoil that the tide-less Baltic Sea provided for well over 1500 years.

Europe during the last ice age about 50,000 years before present when a massive ice sheet covered much of Scandinavia, Britain, and the Baltic. Note that North Germany and Denmark are ice-free in the west, but ice-covered in the east. [From WikiPedia]

Europe about 50,000 years before present with a massive ice sheet that covered much of Scandinavia, Britain, and the Baltic. Note that North Germany and Denmark are ice-free in the west, but ice covered in the east. The coast of Norway is ice-free also. [From Wikipedia]

Traveling by car, train, and ferry the last 10 days, I visited colleagues, family, and friends in an area shaped by ancient ice sheets, medieval trade, piracy, and modern conflict. Continue reading